Saturday, June 22, 2013

2013 Draft: An Oilers Organizational Bias




The NHL draft rankings I put out each year are made to reflect my opinion of the overall "best player available" listed without organizational bias.  The list below is not that list (although for handy comparison purposes, I do show my BPA rankings beside each player).


Basically, on the list below, I rank the prospects in the order of preference I have towards the Oilers selecting them in the draft. It's based upon how I feel each player would potentially help the Oilers organization, and likely give them the most overall value.





I've also decided that I want to show which players I consider to be close to each other (in terms of my general level of interest in drafting them) and where my level of interest drops. I've decided to illustrate that by colour-coding this list.  If a group of prospects listed consecutively share the same background colour, I would classify those prospects as having very similar overall potential value to the Oilers, in my opinion. A change in colour from one (prospect/group of prospects) to another below shows a drop in my opinion of the overall potential value to the Oilers.


MY OVERALL RANK FOR OILERS PLAYER POSITION
2 1 Nathan MacKinnon C
4 2 Aleksander Barkov C
1 3 Jonathan Drouin LW
3 4 Seth Jones D
6 5 Sean Monahan C
8 6 Elias Lindholm C
7 7 Darnell Nurse D
9 8 Nikita Zadorov D
11 9 Alexander Wennberg C
13 10 Bo Horvat C/LW
5 11 Valeri Nichushkin LW
10 12 Hunter Shinkaruk C/RW
17 13 Anthony Mantha LW
19 14 Curtis Lazar C
16 15 Adam Erne LW
18 16 Madison Bowey D
14 17 Rasmus Ristolainen D
15 18 Josh Morrissey D
21 19 Ryan Pulock D
20 20 Valentin Zykov RW
12 21 Max Domi C/LW
24 22 Nicolas Petan C
25 23 Morgan Klimchuk C/LW
26 24 Laurent Dauphin C
28 25 Ryan Hartman C/RW
27 26 Frederik Gauthier C
29 27 JT Compher C
33 28 Ian McCoshen D
31 29 Steve Santini D
32 30 Robert Hagg D
34 31 Mirco Mueller D
36 32 Zachary Fucale G
23 33 Artturi Lehkonen LW
22 34 Andre Burakowsky LW
38 35 Kerby Rychel LW
35 36 Chris Bigras D
39 37 Dillon Heatherington D
40 38 Shea Theodore D
41 39 Tristan Jarry G
37 40 Jacob De La Rose LW
48 41 Eric Comrie G
30 42 Pavel Buchnevich C/LW
42 43 Samuel Morin D
59 44 Jusse Saros G
52 45 Philippe Desrosiers G
43 46 Anthony Duclair LW
45 47 Connor Hurley C
46 48 Jimmy Lodge RW
47 49 Emile Poirier LW
50 50 Michael McCarron RW
51 51 Justin Bailey C/RW
53 52 Jordan Subban D
44 53 Jason Dickinson LW
60 54 Spencer Martin G
61 55 Eamon McAdam G
57 56 Nick Sorensen RW
58 57 William Carrier LW
64 58 Zach Nastasiuk RW
69 59 Tommy Vannelli D
70 60 Hudson Fasching RW
74 61 John Hayden C/RW
55 62 Oliver Bjorkstrand RW
49 63 Anton Slepyshev LW
75 64 Nick Moutrey C/W
56 65 Marko Dano C
63 66 Juuso Ikonen RW
54 67 Ryan Fitzgerald C
62 68 Linus Arnesson D
65 69 Jan Kostalek D
66 70 Marc-Oliver Roy C/LW
67 71 Keaton Thompson D
68 72 Ryan Kujawinski C/LW
73 73 Wilhelm Westlund D
76 74 Michael Downing D
77 75 Gustav Olofsson D
78 76 Brett Pesce D
79 77 Jonathan-Ismael Diaby D
71 78 Sergey Tolchinsky RW
80 79 Lucas Wallmark C
81 80 Eric Roy D
72 81 Taylor Cammarata C/LW
82 82 Yan-Pavel LaPlante C/LW
89 83 Adam Tambellini C
90 84 Mason Geertsen D
83 85 Gabriel Paquin-Boudreau LW
84 86 Greg Chase C
91 87 Peter Cehlarik LW
85 88 Keaton Thompson D
86 89 Jackson Houck RW
87 90 Viktor Crus Rydberg C
88 91 Nick Baptiste RW
97 92 Will Butcher D
98 93 Viktor Arvidsson LW
94 94 Mitchell Wheaton D
95 95 Niklas Hansson D
92 96 Zach Sanford LW
93 97 Stephen Harper LW
96 98 Sergei Stetsenko D
99 99 Vincent Dunn C
101 100 Sven Andrighetto RW
102 101 Carl Dhalstrom D
103 102 Anton Cederholm D
107 103 Myles Bell LW/D
104 104 Remi Elie LW
105 105 Gage Ausmus D
106 106 Cole Cassels C
100 107 Filip Sandberg RW
108 108 Cody Corbett D




With the Oilers currently selecting at 7th overall, I obviously hope they can get one of my top 6 choices.  The 7th - 12th listed prospects are very close in terms of my level of interest.






I have my slight concerns regarding the long-term commitment to playing in North America for European prospects, and that shows in places.  


I also prefer the Oilers taking forwards (especially Centres) above defencemen and sometimes lean towards bigger players.







I also like the chances of being able to draft a decent goalie prospect in the 2nd round (or later) this year, and of possibly snagging a legit prospect late in the draft. Best of luck to the Oilers and I wait in giddy anticipation of one of my favorite events of the hockey season!




2 comments:

dohfOs said...

I'd personally rank Barkov ahead of MacKinnon, especially considering organizational need. I'd also have botth og Monahan and Lindholm ahead of Drouin and Jones but I suppose that's just me wanting the Oil to go for a big C.

Either way, I remember you did this last year and by then you had 3 D's in your top4 organizational need-picks. Did Schultz the younger change all of that for you? (considering you now only have 3 D's among the top 15 this time around).

Then again, last year had more promising D's than it had F's. Still, funny how things change :)

Pisani's Irish Cousin said...

Two things. First: Yes, Schultz the younger does change the needs significantly. He's a PP QB from the point and takes up a top 4 spot. He's also probably qualified to be the top skilled D on the team. Second: Last year's D crop was stronger at the top end, so you're right there. This year the C crop is stronger at the top end.